 
          DOMINION BOULEVARD CORRIDOR STUDY  |  Chesapeake, Virginia
        
        
          20  |  Market Study
        
        
          Market Study  |  21
        
        
          Market Study Summary
        
        
          Background and Objectives
        
        
          The City of Chesapeake is a thriving
        
        
          economic hub supported by excellent
        
        
          infrastructure, schools and location and
        
        
          driven by substantial growth of the logistics,
        
        
          manufacturing, sustainable energy and
        
        
          startup sectors. The Dominion Boulevard
        
        
          Corridor Study planning effort will build upon
        
        
          the foundation established in the Moving
        
        
          Forward Chesapeake 2035 Comprehensive
        
        
          Plan to develop a strategy for development
        
        
          of the corridor.
        
        
          RCLCO researched and analyzed relevant
        
        
          demographic and economic data for the
        
        
          Study Area, city, and the region. Our
        
        
          goal was to understand the City’s past
        
        
          and present population and household
        
        
          characteristics as well as trends or
        
        
          projections that could be concluded for
        
        
          incorporation into the development of the
        
        
          Dominion Boulevard Corridor Study and
        
        
          Economic Development Strategic Plan.
        
        
          We considered both short- and long-term
        
        
          projections and opportunities.
        
        
          Our approach to this assignment included
        
        
          an assessment of the area’s potential to
        
        
          become a regional employment center and
        
        
          a market analysis of the residential, retail
        
        
          commercial, and office/industrial markets in
        
        
          order to recommend market-driven impacts
        
        
          to the land plan and create a land-use
        
        
          allocation strategy and development phasing
        
        
          schedule. This document summarizes the
        
        
          Demographic Analysis and Market and
        
        
          Economic Research and Analysis. The
        
        
          market analysis was completed in Summer
        
        
          of 2014.
        
        
          The Market Study was prepared based
        
        
          on the best information available at the
        
        
          time. In recognition that market conditions
        
        
          may change in the future, the Master Plan
        
        
          should remain dynamic and flexible for new
        
        
          opportunities that may arise.
        
        
          provides long-term favorable growth
        
        
          
            ject area is in a strong location to
          
        
        
          
            t growth.
          
        
        
          imately 10,000 acres in the City of
        
        
          
            
              Study Area Relative to the MSA and the City of Chesapeake
            
          
        
        
          outhwest of th St el Bridge, and is
        
        
          ard corridor. It is east of The Great
        
        
          
            a well-regarded place to live and do
          
        
        
          o of the region’s employment cores
        
        
          nd has some of the region’s newest
        
        
          ould see additional development as the
        
        
          th River is constructed, eliminating the
        
        
          will have a toll. Since many bridges in
        
        
          e projected to be at a higher rate,
        
        
          
            the
          
        
        
          
            pact on the desirability of the area
          
        
        
          vard is being wid ned to a four lane
        
        
          way into North Carolina. There is
        
        
          int it will be turned into an interstate
        
        
          ms are promising for the future
        
        
          
            Figure 6: Virginia Beach-Norfok-Newport News
          
        
        
          
            MSA, City of Chesapeake, and Dominion
          
        
        
          
            Boulevard Study Area
          
        
        
          The favored quarter is a defining
        
        
          characteristic of regional growth in most
        
        
          regions, and the Hampton Roads region
        
        
          is no exception. The favored quarter is
        
        
          typically where the best paying jobs,
        
        
          particularly office jobs, concentrate; on
        
        
          average about 30-40% of these jobs locate
        
        
          in what RCLCO has deemed to be Metro
        
        
          Cores, the areas of greatest job density.
        
        
          The Hampton Roads region has two distinct
        
        
          favored quarters: one to the southeast
        
        
          towards the water in Virginia Beach and the
        
        
          other to the north into the Peninsula (see
        
        
          Figure 7). Given the size of the region, it
        
        
          would typically only have one direction of
        
        
          growth, however, due to the unique nature
        
        
          of the region with the ocean, rivers, and
        
        
          multiple bridges, the region has grown in
        
        
          multiple directions, following the water. The
        
        
          Dominion Study Area is outside of these
        
        
          traditional Favored Quarters, however, as
        
        
          land becomes more scarce, and given the
        
        
          size of the area, the Study Area could begin
        
        
          to help shift the favored quarter towards it
        
        
          over time.
        
        
          The majority of employment is concentrated
        
        
          along major transportation routes. Much of
        
        
          this density is concentrated in downtown
        
        
          Norfolk and directly to the east, towards
        
        
          Virginia Beach, within one of the region’s
        
        
          favored quarters. These dense employment
        
        
          areas are the region’s Metro Cores.
        
        
          Today, the Hampton Roads region has
        
        
          nine established employment cores, with
        
        
          one additional emerging. For the purpose
        
        
          of this analysis, we only concentrated on
        
        
          the seven employment cores in the South
        
        
          side. The distinct location of each of these
        
        
          cores is primarily driven by access to major
        
        
          transportation routes, the unique topography
        
        
          of the region that divides areas seemingly
        
        
          next to each other on a map, and other
        
        
          catalysts such as the location of regional
        
        
          employment locations like Oceana Naval Air
        
        
          Station. Approximately 30% of the current
        
        
          Key Findings – Economy and Demographics
        
        
          employment base in the Hampton Roads
        
        
          region is contained within these seven
        
        
          cores. The Dominion Study Area is close
        
        
          to the Cavalier and Greenbrier Cores. See
        
        
          Figure 8.
        
        
          The Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News
        
        
          MSA (VA Beach MSA) is poised to see
        
        
          moderate growth in the next 20 years (see
        
        
          Figure 8). Many of the industries upon which
        
        
          the region has grown (military, contractors,
        
        
          transportation, and government) are
        
        
          projected to have moderate to weak future
        
        
          growth.
        
        
          However, there are strong sectors of future
        
        
          economic growth that should positively
        
        
          impact the region including Professional
        
        
          and Business Services, Health Services,
        
        
          and Construction. In addition, the City
        
        
          of Chesapeake is working hard to bring
        
        
          employment base to the Hampton Roads
        
        
          region within the cores most beneficial to the
        
        
          City, which includes the potential Dominion
        
        
          Boulevard Corridor.
        
        
          
            Figure 7: Favored
          
        
        
          
            Quarter of Growth in
          
        
        
          
            Hampton Roads region
          
        
        
          
            and Per Capita Income
          
        
        
          
            Source: RCLCO and
          
        
        
          
            ESRI
          
        
        
          region has grown in multiple directions, following the water.
        
        
          
            
              Per Capita Income
            
          
        
        
          
            
              Hampton Roads Region
            
          
        
        
          
            
              Industrial & Office Buildings
            
          
        
        
          
            
              Hampton Roads Region
            
          
        
        
          
            Peninsula
          
        
        
          
            Favored
          
        
        
          
            Quarter
          
        
        
          
            10
          
        
        
          
            20
          
        
        
          
            South
          
        
        
          
            Side
          
        
        
          
            Favored
          
        
        
          
            Quarter
          
        
        
          Key: Per Capita Income (PCI)
        
        
          Low Avg
        
        
          High
        
        
          
            MAP KEY
          
        
        
          Industrial Buildings
        
        
          Office Buildings
        
        
          
            S C St
          
        
        
          Dominion Boulevard  |  City of Chesapeake  |  April 11, 2014 |  E4-11982.40
        
        
          15
        
        
          
            Source: Esri
          
        
        
          
            ource: o ar