 
          DOMINION BOULEVARD CORRIDOR STUDY  |  Chesapeake, Virginia
        
        
          154  |  Appendix
        
        
          
            Demand Analysis
          
        
        
          • RCLCO completed a statistical demand analysis for each of the
        
        
          land uses including for-sale residential, for-rent residential, retail,
        
        
          office, and industrial. They are provided in Exhibits VI-6 to VI-10.
        
        
          • For each of the land uses, we completed a “Limited Employment
        
        
          
            
              Summary of Demand, Both Scenarios, 2014-2035
            
          
        
        
          
            Summary of Demand
          
        
        
          
            2014-2024 2025-2035
          
        
        
          
            Limited Employment Center Scenario
          
        
        
          Center Scenario” which was based upon current capture of each
        
        
          land uses near or in the study area. We further completed a
        
        
          “Regional Employment Center Scenario” that captured land use
        
        
          based upon how the area would perform it is behaved as a
        
        
          regionally-significant employment center.
        
        
          For-Sale Residential
        
        
          1,918
        
        
          1,535
        
        
          For-Rent Residential
        
        
          233
        
        
          174
        
        
          Total Residential
        
        
          2,151
        
        
          1,709
        
        
          Retail SF
        
        
          200,279
        
        
          159,071
        
        
          Office SF
        
        
          43,621
        
        
          22,054
        
        
          Industrial SF
        
        
          57,430
        
        
          14,137
        
        
          • The residential demand models are based upon household growth
        
        
          in the region, the percent of new households likely to be either
        
        
          renters or owners, and the interest in those renters or owners in
        
        
          locating within the City of Chesapeake, and then within the study
        
        
          area.
        
        
          Total SF Commercial
        
        
          301,329
        
        
          195,262
        
        
          
            Summary of Demand
          
        
        
          
            2014-2024 2025-2035
          
        
        
          
            Employment Center Scenario
          
        
        
          • The retail demand model is based upon the two scenarios of
        
        
          household growth within the study area. Each household in the
        
        
          overall region supports approximately 85 square feet of retail. We
        
        
          multiplied the new households by the estimated square feet of retail
        
        
          they support to understand the long-term opportunity for retail in the
        
        
          study area.
        
        
          For-Sale Residential
        
        
          2,278
        
        
          1,871
        
        
          For-Rent Residential
        
        
          448
        
        
          579
        
        
          Total Residential
        
        
          2,726
        
        
          2,450
        
        
          Retail SF
        
        
          240,319
        
        
          214,722
        
        
          Office SF
        
        
          233,693
        
        
          482,966
        
        
          Industrial SF
        
        
          114 859
        
        
          28 273
        
        
          • The office and industrial demands are based upon projected
        
        
          employment growth in the region, the conversion of those
        
        
          employees into square feet of office/industrial, and the capture of
        
        
          the square feet in the study area under both scenarios.
        
        
          ,
        
        
          ,
        
        
          Total SF Commercial
        
        
          588,871
        
        
          725,961
        
        
          Dominion Boulevard  |  City of Chesapeake  |  April 11, 2014 |  E4-11982.40
        
        
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