 
          Appendix  |  173
        
        
          
            Household Growth
          
        
        
          Households are projected to grow between 3,000 and 8,000
        
        
          households per year through 2030 in the MSA. Moody's short-term
        
        
          future household projections (6,700 annually between 2013 and 2018)
        
        
          are higher than Esri's projections (approximately 4,000 households per
        
        
          year). The average annual growth between 2000 and 2013 was
        
        
          approximately 4,600 households per year. We would anticipate future
        
        
          growth to be between 4,500-5,000 households per year based upon an
        
        
          analysis of historical growth and the three sources of projections.
        
        
          
            
              Household Growth
            
          
        
        
          
            
              Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC MSA; 1990-2040
            
          
        
        
          12,000
        
        
          14,000
        
        
          
            PROJECTED
          
        
        
          
            
              ,
            
          
        
        
          8,000
        
        
          10,000
        
        
          2000-2013
        
        
          Avg. Annual
        
        
          Growth =4,600
        
        
          Moody’s Projected
        
        
          2013 to 2035 Avg.
        
        
          Annual Growth =
        
        
          4,700
        
        
          TPO’s Projected
        
        
          2009 to 2040 Avg.
        
        
          Annual Growth =
        
        
          4,800
        
        
          4,000
        
        
          6,000
        
        
          0
        
        
          2,000
        
        
          1990
        
        
          1991
        
        
          1992
        
        
          1993
        
        
          1994
        
        
          1995
        
        
          1996
        
        
          1997
        
        
          1998
        
        
          1999
        
        
          2000
        
        
          2001
        
        
          2002
        
        
          2003
        
        
          2004
        
        
          2005
        
        
          2006
        
        
          2007
        
        
          2008
        
        
          2009
        
        
          2010
        
        
          2011
        
        
          2012
        
        
          2013
        
        
          2014
        
        
          2015
        
        
          2016
        
        
          2017
        
        
          2018
        
        
          2019
        
        
          2020
        
        
          2021
        
        
          2022
        
        
          2023
        
        
          2024
        
        
          2025
        
        
          2026
        
        
          2027
        
        
          2028
        
        
          2029
        
        
          2030
        
        
          2031
        
        
          2032
        
        
          2033
        
        
          2034
        
        
          2035
        
        
          2036
        
        
          2037
        
        
          2038
        
        
          2039
        
        
          2040
        
        
          Dominion Boulevard  |  City of Chesapeake  |  April 11, 2014 |  E4-11982.40
        
        
          28
        
        
          
            Source: Moody’s Economy.com, Hampton Roads TPO